Bitcoin (BTC) — simulated price scenarios (Outlook Race, EventTrader)
Price today: $80,360 (as of 2026-09-20T12:27:22.845420+00:00)
20480 simulated paths. These are scenario/risk simulations, not a forecast of any single price. Results depend on hard-to-estimate expected returns, today's valuations, and the assumption that future decades resemble resampled history.

Horizon | bad case (5th pct) | below avg (25th) | median | above avg (75th) | great case (95th) | paths ending below today
1 month | $57,490 | $71,593 | $79,581 | $90,646 | $111,259 | 52%
3 months | $43,475 | $64,071 | $78,729 | $99,719 | $150,949 | 52%
6 months | $33,952 | $55,802 | $79,243 | $109,507 | $202,773 | 51%
1 year | $21,223 | $46,601 | $78,753 | $130,409 | $285,842 | 51%
5 years | $0 | $15,421 | $65,751 | $248,161 | $1,521,540 | 54%
10 years | $0 | $2,314 | $41,876 | $379,446 | $6,425,920 | 58%

Sample scenarios — 8 individual simulated runs per horizon, low to high:
1 month: $65,566, $68,564, $73,393, $75,322, $80,344, $86,331, $95,790, $105,819
3 months: $46,617, $49,197, $57,434, $66,804, $74,856, $89,955, $104,123, $161,709
6 months: $33,952, $45,500, $60,672, $70,348, $89,248, $102,588, $111,950, $269,714
1 year: $25,538, $35,961, $56,084, $63,509, $97,132, $112,633, $137,858, $311,879
5 years: $1,374, $20,902, $34,475, $50,338, $99,599, $138,107, $600,147, $1,473,180
10 years: $0, $538.41, $6,549, $24,365, $69,222, $194,930, $630,347, $3,238,880

$0 means a simulated run in which the token fails or is delisted (the model gives every coin a yearly failure hazard).
These are simulated scenarios, not a forecast of any single price and not financial advice. The price factor carries no built-in up or down drift ('flat' before risks); the median shown is the unconditional result after every modeled risk (delisting hazard and long-horizon volatility drag), so over long horizons it can sit below today. The information is in the RANGE and the odds.
Run the animated race: https://cymetica.com/crypto-outlook/BTC
Another coin: https://cymetica.com/api/v1/crypto-outlook/<SYMBOL>.txt