The forecast is rigorous.
The incentive is a leaderboard.
Metaculus produces some of the best-calibrated forecasts anywhere, rewarded in reputation points. EventTrader's event markets put a price and a payout on the same questions — forecasting with consequences.
Perpetual markets, no expiry
Perpetual prediction markets roll continuously — no contract expiry to manage, no forced settlement date.
Open perpetual markets →Published, checkable resolution
Markets resolve on published index and outcome rules stated per market — not token-holder votes with whale-sized conflicts.
Browse event markets →Crypto rails, tx-hash proof
Deposit on eight chains, withdraw on-chain with a transaction hash you can verify on any block explorer.
Open your account →Why people look beyond Metaculus
- No real-money markets — incentives are reputational
- Small community; limited liquidity concepts apply
What you'd actually be trading here
EventTrader is a prediction exchange: perpetual prediction markets on crypto, stocks and macro moves with no expiry, live central-limit order books, event markets on real-world outcomes, and a marketplace of trading bots you can clone instead of coding. Position risk is capped at what you put in — no liquidation engine, no margin calls. Server-side alerts and free webhook auto-execution come with every account.
- Free means free. No card required. Nothing auto-converts into a paid plan.
- We are a prediction exchange too — this page states sourced facts about alternatives so you can compare. Verify everything, including us.
- No predictions sold. Markets are markets; we make no performance claims.
- Leave in one click. Withdraw on-chain any time, with a tx hash you can verify.
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